my backgammon study: -4-3

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2010年12月27日月曜日

XGID=-AB-BBDABa--b---Aabccba---:0:0:1:00:4:3:0:7:10

X:nori   O:DA
Score is X:4 O:3 7 pt(s) match.
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 |          X  O  O |   | O  O  O  O       |
 |                O |   | O  O  O          |
 |                  |   | O  O             |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   | X                |
 |                  |   | X                |
 | O           X    |   | X  X  X     X    |
 | O        O  X  X |   | X  X  X     X  X |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pipcount  X: 86  O: 108 X-O: 4-3/7
Cube  : 1
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:    72.31% (G:  5.24% B:  0.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances:  27.69% (G:  3.12% B:  0.17%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.499, Double=+1.360

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.576 (-0.316)
       Double/Take: +0.892
       Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.108)

Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

2010年12月8日水曜日

XGID=-a---AD-Da--dC--Ac-bb--bB-:0:0:-1:00:1:2:0:5:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:1 O:2 5 pt(s) match.
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
 | X        X  O    |   | O  O        O  X |
 | X           O    |   | O  O        O  X |
 | X           O    |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 | O           X    |   | X                |
 | O           X    |   | X                |
 | O           X    |   | X                |
 | O        O  X    |   | X  X           O |
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
Pipcount  X: 164  O: 142 X-O: 1-2/5
Cube  : 1
O on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:    65.49% (G: 25.17% B:  2.73%)
Opponent Winning Chances:  34.51% (G:  6.72% B:  0.26%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.720, Double=+1.283

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.695
       Double/Take: +0.580 (-0.115)
       Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.305)

Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

2010年10月15日金曜日

XGID=-a-BBBB-B--AdBa--a-bbbbAA-:0:0:1:00:11:12:0:15:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:11 O:12 15 pt(s) match.
 +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
 | X  X  O  O  O  O |   |    O        O  X |
 |       O  O  O  O |   |                X |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                O |
 |                  |   |                O |
 |       X  X  X  X |   |    X           O |
 | O     X  X  X  X |   |    X        X  O |
 +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
Pipcount  X: 136  O: 131 X-O: 11-12/15
Cube  : 1
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:    53.98% (G: 22.83% B:  1.23%)
Opponent Winning Chances:  46.02% (G: 14.41% B:  0.90%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.102, Double=+0.689

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.365 (-0.103)
       Double/Take: +0.468
       Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.532)

Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

2010年9月6日月曜日

XGID=-a-a-BC-C-A-cD--abbe---AA-:0:0:1:00:3:4:0:7:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:3 O:4 7 pt(s) match.
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X        O  O  O |   | O           X  X |
 | X           O  O |   | O                |
 | X                |   | O                |
 | X                |   | O                |
 |                  |   | O                |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 | O           X    |   | X                |
 | O           X    |   | X  X             |
 | O     X     X    |   | X  X     O     O |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pipcount  X: 161  O: 154 X-O: 3-4/7
Cube  : 1
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances:    58.04% (G: 17.87% B:  2.40%)
  Opponent Winning Chances:  41.96% (G: 12.55% B:  1.47%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances:    57.92% (G: 17.73% B:  4.40%)
  Opponent Winning Chances:  42.08% (G: 13.77% B:  1.63%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.165, Double=+0.653

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.568
       Double/Take: +0.450 (-0.118)
       Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.432)

Best Cube action: No Double / Take

Rollout
  400 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
  Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
  Confidence No Double: ｱ 0.057 (+0.511<E<+0.625)
  Confidence Double:    ｱ 0.075 (+0.375<E<+0.526)
  
  Double Decision confidence: 99.3%
  Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
  
  Duration: 6 minutes 41 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

XGID=-a-a-BC-C-A-cD--abbe---AA-:0:0:1:00:3:4:0:7:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:3 O:4 7 pt(s) match.
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X        O  O  O |   | O           X  X |
 | X           O  O |   | O                |
 | X                |   | O                |
 | X                |   | O                |
 |                  |   | O                |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 | O           X    |   | X                |
 | O           X    |   | X  X             |
 | O     X     X    |   | X  X     O     O |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pipcount  X: 161  O: 154 X-O: 3-4/7
Cube  : 1
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:    57.41% (G: 16.69% B:  0.83%)
Opponent Winning Chances:  42.59% (G: 11.43% B:  0.54%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.150, Double=+0.635

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.480
       Double/Take: +0.405 (-0.076)
       Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.520)

Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

2010年8月13日金曜日

XGID=--a-BaC-BA--cC---bbccC-A--:0:0:-1:00:1:2:0:5:10

X:nori   O:chiemi
Score is X:1 O:2 5 pt(s) match.
 +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
 |    X     X  O  O |   | O  O           X |
 |          X  O  O |   | O  O           X |
 |          X  O  O |   |                X |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                X |   |                O |
 |          X     X |   |    X           O |
 |    O     X  O  X |   |    X  X        O |
 +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
Pipcount  X: 176  O: 145 X-O: 1-2/5
Cube  : 1
O on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:    63.74% (G: 21.74% B:  0.99%)
Opponent Winning Chances:  36.26% (G:  7.16% B:  0.25%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.582, Double=+1.080

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.561
       Double/Take: +0.348 (-0.213)
       Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.439)

Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

2010年8月11日水曜日

XGID=--B--BCBC--b-B--cbccbA----:0:0:-1:00:3:4:0:7:10

X:nori   O:Rino974
Score is X:3 O:4 7 pt(s) match.
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
 | X        O  O  O |   | O  O  X          |
 | X        O  O  O |   | O  O             |
 |          O     O |   | O                |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |             X    |   | X                |
 |    O        X  X |   | X  X        X    |
 |    O        X  X |   | X  X        X    |
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
Pipcount  X: 117  O: 120 X-O: 3-4/7
Cube  : 1
O on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:    73.78% (G: 10.22% B:  0.15%)
Opponent Winning Chances:  26.22% (G:  2.48% B:  0.05%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.625, Double=+1.554

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.808 (-0.192)
       Double/Take: +1.057 (+0.057)
       Double/Drop: +1.000

Best Cube action: Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

2010年7月24日土曜日

XGID=-aa--CCBAB--aaa--c-bAbcAB-:0:0:-1:00:4:3:0:7:10

X:nori   O:akbaytug
Score is X:4 O:3 7 pt(s) match.
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
 | O  O        O    |   | O  X  O  O  X  X |
 |             O    |   | O     O  O     X |
 |             O    |   |          O       |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   | X  X             |
 |          X     X |   | X  X             |
 | O        X  X  X |   | X  X        O  O |
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
Pipcount  X: 164  O: 136 X-O: 4-3/7
Cube  : 1
O on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:    57.02% (G: 28.40% B:  4.18%)
Opponent Winning Chances:  42.98% (G: 12.11% B:  1.00%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.319, Double=+1.183

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.593 (-0.315)
       Double/Take: +0.908
       Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.092)

Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

2010年6月29日火曜日

XGID=aa--B-C-CaB-dB---bAf---B--:0:0:1:00:2:1:0:5:10

X:nori   O:sarcasticmama
Score is X:2 O:1 5 pt(s) match.
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X           O  X |   | O           X    |
 | X           O    |   | O           X    |
 |                  |   | O                |
 |                  |   | O                |
 |                  |   | 6                |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  | O |                  |
 | O                |   |                  |
 | O           X    |   | X                |
 | O     X     X    |   | X     X          |
 | O     X  O  X    |   | X     X        O |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pipcount  X: 160  O: 169 X-O: 2-1/5
Cube  : 1
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:    68.68% (G: 29.33% B:  2.32%)
Opponent Winning Chances:  31.32% (G:  6.87% B:  0.29%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.844, Double=+1.512

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.850 (-0.069)
       Double/Take: +0.919
       Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.081)

Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

XGID=aa--B-C-CaB-dB---bAf---B--:0:0:1:00:2:1:0:5:10

X:nori   O:sarcasticmama
Score is X:2 O:1 5 pt(s) match.
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X           O  X |   | O           X    |
 | X           O    |   | O           X    |
 |                  |   | O                |
 |                  |   | O                |
 |                  |   | 6                |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  | O |                  |
 | O                |   |                  |
 | O           X    |   | X                |
 | O     X     X    |   | X     X          |
 | O     X  O  X    |   | X     X        O |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pipcount  X: 160  O: 169 X-O: 2-1/5
Cube  : 1
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:    68.68% (G: 29.33% B:  2.32%)
Opponent Winning Chances:  31.32% (G:  6.87% B:  0.29%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.844, Double=+1.512

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.850 (-0.069)
       Double/Take: +0.919
       Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.081)

Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

2010年6月7日月曜日

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity  +0.5049 (Money:  +0.5027)
  0.6638 0.2231 0.0046 - 0.3362 0.0520 0.0006
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass         +1.0000
2. Double, take         +1.2053  ( +0.2053)
3. No double            +0.8445  ( -0.1555)
Proper cube action: Double, pass

2010年5月18日火曜日

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity  -0.0671 (Money:  -0.0671)
  0.4664 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.5336 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. No double            +0.1118
2. Double, pass         +1.0000  ( +0.8882)
3. Double, take         -0.1953  ( -0.3071)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take (25.7%)

EPC 24.8 v. 29

reference


Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity  +0.1465 (Money:  +0.1465)
  0.5733 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.4267 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. No double            +0.4289
2. Double, pass         +1.0000  ( +0.5711)
3. Double, take         +0.4263  ( -0.0025)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take (0.4%)


Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity  +0.2391 (Money:  +0.2391)
  0.6196 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3804 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take         +0.6958
2. Double, pass         +1.0000  ( +0.3042)
3. No double            +0.5526  ( -0.1433)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

62%, EPC 27.6 29 pip/w = 5% for 26

2010年5月17日月曜日

Cube Action, -4-3


Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity  +0.3685 (Money:  +0.3952)
  0.6468 0.1806 0.0055 - 0.3532 0.0825 0.0019
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take         +0.9013
2. Double, pass         +1.0000  ( +0.0987)
3. No double            +0.5993  ( -0.3020)
Proper cube action: Double, take

Reference:

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity  +0.3944
  0.6451 0.1818 0.0058 - 0.3549 0.0816 0.0018
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take         +0.5474
2. Double, pass         +1.0000  ( +0.4526)
3. No double            +0.5073  ( -0.0402)
Proper cube action: Double, take

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my backgammon study

2010年12月27日月曜日

2010年12月8日水曜日

2010年10月15日金曜日

2010年9月6日月曜日

2010年8月13日金曜日

2010年8月11日水曜日

2010年7月24日土曜日

2010年6月29日火曜日

2010年6月7日月曜日

2010年5月18日火曜日

reference

2010年5月17日月曜日

Cube Action, -4-3

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my backgammon study

2010年12月27日月曜日

2010年12月8日水曜日

2010年10月15日金曜日

2010年9月6日月曜日

2010年8月13日金曜日

2010年8月11日水曜日

2010年7月24日土曜日

2010年6月29日火曜日

2010年6月7日月曜日

2010年5月18日火曜日

reference

2010年5月17日月曜日

Cube Action, -4-3

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