2010年8月16日月曜日

XGID=-aBBBBBA--A--A-aAbccbb-a-A:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Money session, Jacoby Beaver 
 +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
 |    O     O  O  O |   | O  O  X  O     X |
 |          O  O  O |   | O  O             |
 |                O |   | O                |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  | X |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |    X  X  X  X  X |   |                  |
 | O  X  X  X  X  X |   | X        X       |
 +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
Pipcount  X: 111  O: 109 X-O: 0-0
Cube  : 1
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:    57.19% (G: 21.07% B:  1.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances:  42.81% (G: 18.00% B:  2.44%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.144, Double=+0.276

Cubeful Equities:
       No Double:   +0.230
       Double/Take: +0.002 (-0.228)
       Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.770)

Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20

1 件のコメント:

  1. ダンスの9通りは即負け。
    15143435の8通りは、キューブが相手にあると6通りは負けると思います。
    残りの19通りも3通りぐらいは勝てそうな気がします。(ギャモン負けと相殺した後で)
    そう考えると、ほとんどイーブンゲームです。

    ロールアウトの結果もあまり変わらず。ビーバーほどではないようです。

    Analyzed in Rollout
    No Double
    Player Winning Chances: 57.02% (G: 21.51% B: 1.15%)
    Opponent Winning Chances: 42.98% (G: 16.93% B: 2.10%)
    Double/Take
    Player Winning Chances: 56.96% (G: 22.22% B: 1.10%)
    Opponent Winning Chances: 43.04% (G: 17.62% B: 2.27%)

    Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.140, Double=+0.347

    Cubeful Equities:
    No Double: +0.236
    Double/Take: +0.039 (-0.197)
    Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.764)

    Best Cube action: No Double / Take

    Rollout Truncated at 11 moves using 4 ply.
    2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 1341
    Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
    Confidence No Double: ア 0.007 (+0.229<E<+0.244)
    Confidence Double: ア 0.012 (+0.027<E<+0.051)

    Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
    Beaver Decision confidence: 100.0%

    Duration: 2 minutes 46 seconds

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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